I cannot remember the last time I saw two teams meet in a quarterfinal and the odds were so stacked in one#s favour. Germany versus Greece may seem to have some political or social response but on the pitch it seems to be one-sided.
Greece are 11/1 to Win…11/1??
That is right folks, the Greeks are 11/1 to win this game by Bwin In what could be worth a sneaky fiver, you have to really question why you are backing the Greeks. Although I did think it would be funny for the Greeks to back themselves, could relieve their financial problems.
Not only have the Germans not lost but they managed to dismiss Portugal and Holland. Schweinsteiger is questionable health wise but football-wise has been amazing, Gomez is scoring and they have only conceded one goal. This is why the Germans to qualify is a mere 1/3.
So where is the value mate?
Finding value on this game means looking to final score and first goal scorer.
Germany to win 2-0 is the bookies guess, priced at 5/1. 1-0 Germany offers a little better price of 13/2 by Ladbrokes while a 3-0 win is priced at 8/1 by Ladbrokes and Stan James. If Germany do score early then the Greeks will have to push and that could leave 3-0 not being a bad bet. I would be very surprised to see Greece score.
The first goal scorer holds the best value in my opinion. Mario Gomez has already scored three goals this campaign and leads the way at 3/1 to score first. Funnily enough Sportingbet will refund your bet, although conditons to apply.
Any other German player to score first offers good odds. Podolski sits at 13/2, Mueller at 8/1 and what I think could be a nice bet, Ozil sits at 10/1. It is going to be a Germany feeding ground so jump on the band wagon quick.