This week is what you would the call the week off from the clay court season. It is an opportunity for the top players to work out their last few kinks before the final two clay court Masters 1000 events and the grand finale, the French Open.
There is still a fairly big tournament going on though. Surprisingly, it is only Bet Victor who have currently printed prices for an outright winner of the BMW Open in Munich. Only Bet Victor: BetVictor have currently printed prices on the outright winner despite the other bookmakers providing odds for individual matches. Thanks BV!
Mental Strength seems Key to Success in Munich
The BMW Open in Germany is headlined by World No. #5, Jo-Wilfred Tsonga, priced at 3/1. The Frenchman is not very comfortable on his “home” surface despite a nice victory in Monte Carlo over Fernando Verdasco. The Muhammad Ali look-alike is full of talent and his huge serve and big forehand are just as big on the slow surfaces. He has the ability to go all the way in Munich and the draw seems relatively weak in terms of dangerous opponents; it seems Tsonga’s worst enemy will be himself this week.
The second seed and second favourite, Feliciano Lopez, is an interesting comodity. The man from Spain was so unlucky last week not to beat David Ferrer after leading by a set and a break. The World No. #16 served big and was very aggressive but he reeked of confidence which was good to see. Lopez will be looking to continue his good form into Munich and there is no better chance to win a title than this week. His 4/1 price suggests a similar opinion to Tsonga; he has the ability but it is whether he can remain focused throughout the whole week which will decide his success. Be careful though, Lopez had the trainer on against Ferrer for a sore left upper back, a key muscle to his big serve.
Phillip Kohlscreiber is next on the bookies list. A German playing in Germany seems to always equal success (probably why I would back Bayern over Chelsea). However, Kohlscreiber’s lack of success in his career is due to his inability to let things go. The German gets easily mad at himself and this leads to sulking and a poor performance. The German is priced at 11/2 although I do not think he currently has the confidence to win it all in Munich.
Other players such as Mikhail Youzhny (7/1), Marin Cilic (11/1), Bernard Tomic and Nikolay Davydenko (both are 14/1) are not worth the effort unless they start showing some serious form. All four players have a serious flaw when it comes to winning on clay and sadly do represent a serious chance at winning it all. Youzhny is another mental case, Cilic and Daydenko lack confidence while Tomic is not quite experienced enough to win an event on clay. However, I would back Tomic as an outside bet due to the kid’s incredible self-belief and very intelligent game style.
My View- Back Tsonga at 3/1
All the top candidates show some serious flaws in their ability to win it all. I would agree with the bookies that Tsonga represents the best player to back due to what we saw in Monte Carlo, however if Lopez can carry on his form shown against Ferrer then he should be the Favourite. I do not think that is likely so my I would back Tsonga this week. Betting Tomic each way would also not be a bad shout.